Over the past seven days, a ridiculous 24 major league pitchers have blown a save opp. Now, all of these guys aren't closers, they just happened to land in save situations and cough up some runs. However, a few of them are. One of those guys is C.J. Wilson. Wilson blew his first save of the season on Sunday afternoon, walking three, allowing two hits and giving up two earned runs to take the loss and the BS.
C.J.'s not going to lose his job immediately by any means, and he's been a very nice, cheap source of saves. But how good does he look for the future? Well, the stats (2.25 ERA, 1.12 WHIP) look very nice. The peripherals look a little less friendly. His BABIP is sub .200 and he's seen a spike in fly ball percentage, in terms of what balls are doing after they leave bats after they leave his hands. Yet he hasn't allowed a single home run this year.
Now, you can take all of that and say, "So what, brah? Sample size." And I'll say, "Yeah, man, cool. Keep using him. I'm not offended if you don't listen." So we take this little formula: (low BABIP + high FB% + 0% HR/FB + horrible home park for pitching = lots of luck). Oh yeah, and he's only struck out two batters all season. So there's that.
Folks, Wilson is a nice lower end option at closer. And I think he has a strong future as a reliever, because he should, in theory, strike people out, and absolutely dominate left handed hitters. But all the junk above, even though it's early, make me a little skeptical.
Why not wait pair him with a decent starter and go right after C.C. Sabathia? Sure, Wilson just blew a save, but most of C.C.'s owners are scrambling to dump the hefty lefty and there is always someone looking for a guy that looks like a lock to save 25 games.
