First things first, please don't misconstrue this post and go drafting these guys consecutively in the first five rounds. That's not the point. Fantasy football drafts and auctions are all about value. Specifically, getting the maximum value out of every pick. You can't win your free fleaflicker league in the first round, because everyone is drafting a first-rounder. You can, however, lose your league in the first. Will Brinson's already covered five guys that could lose your league for you, because you'll have to waste too high a pick on them. Now it's my turn to give you five excellent value picks. We'll start with bigger names and work down to deep sleepers.
Five Guys to Win Your League
Chris Chambers, Wide Receiver, Chargers
With so much defensive attention paid to LaDainian Tomlinson and Antonio Gates, Chambers will likely be the sneakiest weapon in a juggernaut Chargers attack. He racked up 555 yards and four TDs after being traded to San Diego last season, and his production should boom now that he's more acclimated.
Harry How, Getty Images
Selvin Young, Running Back, Broncos
Fantasy owners have developed a love-hate relationship with Denver head coach Mike Shanahan due to the "running back by committee" often employed. But the Broncos aren't going to have many options to choose from, and Young is talented enough to keep the ground game powered all season long.
Doug Pensinger, Getty Images
Ronald Curry, Wide Receiver, Raiders
There's no doubt that Curry can rack up the receptions in impressive fashion, yet he's never had a quarterback he could rely on consistently. With strong-armed JaMarcus Russell behind center, Curry should put up very solid numbers in Lane Kiffin's emerging offense.
Jed Jacobsohn, Getty Images
Philip Rivers, Quarterback, Chargers
Despite being in charge of one of the best offenses in the league, Rivers is being taken late in fantasy drafts. Don't let his surgically repaired knee scare you off, because he's definitely in the right spot for success.
Elsa, Getty Images
Trent Edwards, Quarterback, Bills
He hasn't shown us much other than a four-TD explosion against Miami last December, but Edwards is in a great situation as the Bills' starter. With Marshawn Lynch pounding the rock, a strong line blocking for him and dynamic receivers to throw to, Edwards could surprise with a 20-TD season.
Jim McIsaac, Getty Images
Philip Rivers
He must be getting undervalued based upon his reconstructed knee, otherwise I just don't get it. He's checking it at an average average draft position of 13th among quarterbacks. Really? There are 12 better fantasy options? I'm not buying it. This will be the second year under Norv Turner's offense -- one that actually made Alex Smith look serviceable. He's got a reliable tight end in Antonio Gates, the best running back in football to keep the defense honest, and a full season of Chris Chambers at wideout, which should also free Vincent Jackson to grow. This is too many weapons for a talented QB that is easily a top-10 thrower in fantasy. If you can get him in the fifth round, that's highway robbery.
Selvin Young
One thing we know about Denver is that they will run the football, and they will run it well. The other thing we've come to know is pundits everywhere like to scream about how you should never trust a Broncos running back because Mike Shanahan hates fantasy football. Let's look closer, though. Going back to Terrell Davis, he had the job and never yielded until he was injured. When he went down, Olandis Gary took over and was a stud. The next season, both TD and Gary fell injured, and Mike Anderson become a yet another stud. In 2001 they cycled through a few backs, but mostly tried to stick with TD. They followed that up with Clinton Portis and he was the man for two years. After Portis was dealt in '04, Reuben Droughns started 15 games and hogged the stats.
In the '05 and '06 seasons the stigma developed, but did Shanahan really have a talented option? He was able to coax productive fantasy games out of the likes of Tatum and Mike Bell. Last year, the plan was to have Travis Henry carry the load ... and he did until injuries and drug issues derailed his season. In weeks one, two, and four Henry went for 139, 128, and 131 yards. He had an off-week against the Jags in Week 3, but that's the Jags ... and he still scored a TD. He suffered through subpar games against solid defensive teams from Pittsburgh and San Diego (when the Broncos lost 41-3, so how much can you really run the ball in that game?), and that was it. Was it really a committee? It seems to me Shanahan was sticking with Henry until he was left without a choice.
Enter Selvin Young and 2008. It's his job to lose, and Henry's gone. The Broncos did acquire Michael Pittman and draft Ryan Torain (UPDATE: Torain is out for a bit) in addition to still owning Andre Hall. Do you blame Shanahan? He hasn't had much luck with avoiding injury issues or subpar play since the Super Bowl years. It's called hedging your bets. The true bet here is Young has the talent to take the job by the throat and never let go. His average draft position is currently 31st among running backs, behind several time-sharing and ineffective rushers. That's way too low for the Broncos' starting back. You know why, though. It's because so many people regurgitate the fallacy that "Shanahan hates you." Don't fall prey. It's actually irresponsible journalism by those who spew it.
Chris Chambers
You heard me talk about the Chargers stellar offense above. I want to reiterate it here while praising Chambers. Look, the Chargers got off to a nightmare start last season under Turner. He's got an offensive mind, and with a full season they'll prove to be a juggernaut. Chambers already had a half-season to develop a rapport with Rivers, so he's ready to go. Defenses have to pay so much attention to Gates and LaDanian Tomlinson, that Chambers will be third on their mind. His ADP is 26th in receivers currently. You don't like him for top 20? You sure?
Latest NFL Photos
PHILADELPHIA - AUGUST 14: Sheldon Brown #24 (R) and Lorenzo Booker #25 of the Philadelphia Eagles take down Muhsin Muhammad #87 of the Carolina Panthers during the NFL game at Lincoln Financial Field on August 14, 2008 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Lorenzo Booker;Sheldon Brown;Muhsin Muhammad
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PHILADELPHIA - AUGUST 14: Brian Dawkins #20 of the Philadelphia Eagles collides with Muhsin Muhammad #87 of the Carolina Panthers during the NFL game at Lincoln Financial Field on August 14, 2008 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images)
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PHILADELPHIA - AUGUST 14: Donovan McNabb #5 of the Philadelphia Eagles looks for an open man during the NFL game against the Carolina Panthers at Lincoln Financial Field on August 14, 2008 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Donovan McNabb
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PHILADELPHIA - AUGUST 14: Donovan McNabb #5 talks with Andy Reid, head coach of the Philadelphia Eagles during the NFL game against the Carolina Panthers at Lincoln Financial Field on August 14, 2008 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Andy Reid;Donovan McNabb
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PHILADELPHIA - AUGUST 14: Jake Delhomme #17 of the Carolina Panthers talks to Lito Sheppard #26 of the Philadelphia Eagles during the NFL game at Lincoln Financial Field on August 14, 2008 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Jake Delhomme;Lito Sheppard
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PHILADELPHIA - AUGUST 14: A Philadelphia Eagles cheerleader performs in the rain during the NFL game against the Carolina Panthers at Lincoln Financial Field on August 14, 2008 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images)
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PHILADELPHIA - AUGUST 14: DeAngelo Williams #34 leaps over Keydrick Vincent #68 of the Carolina Panthers as Juqua Parker #75 Philadelphia Eagles closes in during the NFL game at Lincoln Financial Field on August 14, 2008 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Keydrick Vincent;DeAngelo Williams;Juqua Parker
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PHILADELPHIA - AUGUST 14: DeAngelo Williams #34 (R) of the Carolina Panthers evades Lito Sheppard #26 Philadelphia Eagles as Muhsin Muhammad #87 of the Carolina Panthers provides coverage during the NFL game at Lincoln Financial Field on August 14, 2008 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Muhsin Muhammad;DeAngelo Williams;Lito Sheppard
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Philadelphia Eagles' Quintin Demps (39) tackles Carolina Panthers' Decori Birmingham (26) during the forth quarter of an NFL preseason football game in Philadelphia, Thursday, Aug. 14, 2008. The Eagles won 24-13. (AP Photo/Mel Evans)
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Philadelphia Eagles' Greg Lewis catches a touchdown pass during the fourth quarter of an NFL preseason football game against the Carolina Panthers in Philadelphia, Thursday, Aug. 14, 2008. The Eagles won 24-13. (AP Photo/Mel Evans)
AP
Ronald Curry
I'll admit it, I probably heart the Raiders offense a bit too much this year. That's fine. They still have to attempt a passing game. Javon Walker wanted to retire. Can we really be sure he's in for a productive season? JaMarcus Russell has also reportedly had great chemistry with deep threat Drew Carter, which means the main possession guy will be Curry. He's currently 41st on the wide receiver ADP list, and I like him to end the season around 30th for wideouts. He's never had a good QB, and if Russell becomes one you can expect very solid numbers.
Trent Edwards
Deep sleeper time. If you play in a league where you only start one QB and will only need one backup, you can ignore this entry. There are, however, leagues where you get to start two QBs. In those leagues, don't sleep on Trent Edwards. His current ADP is 28th among QBs, behind a few guys that are going to be backups (two Cardinals are in front of him, as are Brett Favre/Jeff Garcia/Aaron Rodgers). Look, the Bills offense is going to have a breakout season. Lee Evans has shown his penchant for big plays in the past. Marshawn Lynch showed his abilities last season, and rookie James Hardy gives Edwards a tall target (6-foot-5) in the red zone -- who also takes pressure off Evans since the Josh Reed project never panned out. Look for him to end the season ranked around 20 for QBs.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 3)
8-11-2008 @ 6:13PM
Uf4r said...
We hear this every season about SD and what happens, NOTHING
Reply
8-21-2008 @ 2:05PM
rerun444 said...
xactly
8-21-2008 @ 2:18PM
Carson said...
I don't think making it to the AFC Championship game is considered "nothing" Uf4r.
8-21-2008 @ 2:37PM
Matt said...
Nothing?! Are you crazy? They beat Indy in the playoffs last season and were only one game away from being in the Superbowl!
8-21-2008 @ 3:36PM
chkka said...
NOTHING? Excuse me, but did you watch the AFC Championship! I don't know who your team is but there were 14 other teams that did less. East Coast arrogance drives me crazy.
8-21-2008 @ 6:46PM
laughing said...
The San Diego Chargers beat the former Super Bowl Champions, and came within 9 points of going to the Super Bowl themselves.
The QB was injured, LT unable to play, Merriman suffering, and Antonio Gates had a broken toe.
With all of their major stars hurting or MIA, they nearly took down the Patriots. I wouldn't be counting them out yet.
8-21-2008 @ 2:34PM
john said...
haaha none of these guys will do anything this year
Reply
8-21-2008 @ 2:53PM
docbisio said...
I hope my fantasy opponents take your advice.
Reply
8-21-2008 @ 2:59PM
Sara said...
go Rivers!
Reply
8-21-2008 @ 2:47PM
Jeremy Nelson said...
The Charger's are the only team we have a chance with here in San Diego. Philip is the man and Chambers is a stud. So after us beating Indy last year dont some of you think that we deserve some respect??
8-21-2008 @ 6:18PM
Jamie said...
Phillip Rivers is a JERK!!!! When they beat Indianapolis you could read his lips he said F**k You Peyton Manning! He will never be as good as Peyton so he needs to watch his MOUTH!!!!GO COLTS!!!!!!
8-21-2008 @ 3:07PM
Kelley said...
The Chargers will lose at Oakland in Week 4.
Reply
8-21-2008 @ 3:34PM
Steve said...
you have got to lay off the kool aid- Oakland should just not show- they'd be ahead
8-21-2008 @ 6:46PM
Laughing said...
Or they'll beat them 27-0. Wait, hasn't that already happened?
When was the last time SD lost to Oakland? When was the last time Oakland won more than they lost? Hmmm.
8-21-2008 @ 3:33PM
painless surgeon said...
Chargers yuk! Go Giants!
Reply
8-21-2008 @ 3:38PM
Brandon said...
Well i disagree with all of these besides Chris Chambers. Especially Philip Rivers and Trent Edwards. Philip is just so unpredictable and Trent is just too old. You want a sleeper, pick up The broncos QB, he will shine this year along with Brandon Marshall, his #1 receiver.
Reply
8-21-2008 @ 3:59PM
Kris said...
Who is that 1st guy? He's a hottie! :)
Reply
8-21-2008 @ 4:31PM
Caroline said...
Rivers is a good quarterback, maybe not amazing, but hes good and he has a good O-line, and that combo has the potiential to go far. How far they go depends on wether or not they reach that potential. To me the Chargers dont go that extra mile, and they need too. They depend too much on LT, they need to focus on some of their other amazing players
Reply
8-21-2008 @ 6:46PM
Someone said...
Lt is an amazing player. It's true that the Chargers rely on him. However, they almost beat the Patriots without him. They did beat the Colts when he was injured.
SD has a lot of offensive weapons, and I don't think them not "going the extra mile" is what could hurt their potential. I'm more concerned about the injuries.
The Chargers have been known to pull some pretty incredible crunch time plays. For instance, Phillip Rivers in Seattle, in his rookie season, throwing a long ball for a TD with 32 seconds left to play.
8-21-2008 @ 4:42PM
Dan said...
Its time to put some vikings on that list. Jackson, Berrian, Taylor, Rice, Allison...
Reply